Rainfall

ACCORDING TO THE MET OFFICE, strong monsoon currents from both the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal are continuously entering the country. A Low-Pressure Area (LPA) over the Bay of Bengal is projected to shift westward from 17th August, which will further intensify monsoon activity. Additionally, a westerly wave is currently affecting several regions under these weather patterns.

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Kashmir / Gilgit-Baltistan

From 17th to 19th August, widespread rain, wind, and thunderstorms (with intervals of heavy to very heavy downpours) are predicted in:

  • Kashmir (Neelum Valley, Muzaffarabad, Rawalakot, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, and Mirpur)
  • Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, and Shigar)

Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa

From 17th to 19th August, the province is expected to receive widespread showers and thunderstorms, particularly in Dir, Chitral, Swat, Kohistan, Shangla, Battagram, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Buner, Malakand, Bajaur, Mohmand, Kohat, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Mardan, Swabi, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram, Hangu, Karak, Bannu, Lakki Marwat, Waziristan, Tank, and Dera Ismail Khan.

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Punjab / Islamabad

From 17th to 19th August, widespread rain and thunderstorms are expected in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Murree, Galliyat, Attock, Chakwal, Jhelum, Mandi Bahauddin, Gujrat, Gujranwala, Hafizabad, Wazirabad, Lahore, Kasur, Sheikhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, Mianwali, Khushab, Sargodha, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Chiniot, Faisalabad, and Sahiwal.
Additionally, scattered showers (with isolated heavy rainfall) may hit D.G. Khan, Bhakkar, Layyah, Multan, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar, Rajanpur, and Rahimyar Khan from 18th to 20th August.

Sindh

Heavy rain and thunderstorms (with breaks in between) are likely from 17th to 22nd August in Mithi, Tharparkar, Umerkot, Mirpurkhas, Hyderabad, Shaheed Benazirabad, Karachi, Thatta, Badin, Sajawal, Tando Allayar, Tando Muhammad Khan, Sanghar, Jamshoro, Sukkur, Larkana, Khairpur, and Jacobabad.

Balochistan

From 17th to 21st August, rainfall with occasional thunderstorms is predicted in Barkhan, Musakhel, Loralai, Sibbi, Zhob, Qilla Saifullah, Khuzdar, Lasbela, Awaran, Kech, Gwadar, and Panjgur.

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Possible Impacts & Precautionary Measures

  • Flash floods are expected in hilly streams and nullahs of Chitral, Dir, Swat, Shangla, Mansehra, Kohistan, Abbottabad, Buner, Charsadda, Nowshera, Swabi, Mardan, Murree, Galliyat, Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Northeast Punjab, and Kashmir from 17th to 19th August. Similar threats exist in D.G. Khan and eastern Balochistan between 18th to 21st August.
  • Urban flooding is a concern in low-lying parts of Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Lahore, Sialkot, Peshawar, and Nowshera during 17th–19th August, and in multiple Sindh cities including Karachi, Hyderabad, Badin, Thatta, Tharparkar, Umerkot, Jacobabad, Sukkur, Larkana, Shaheed Benazirabad, Sajawal, Sanghar, and Jamshoro between 17th–22nd August.
  • Landslides and mudslides could block roads in vulnerable hilly regions of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, Murree, Galliyat, and Kashmir.
  • Heavy downpours accompanied by windstorms and lightning may damage weak structures, including kacha houses, electric poles, billboards, vehicles, and solar panels.

The Met Office has advised the general public, travelers, and tourists to remain cautious, avoid unnecessary travel to vulnerable regions, and stay updated with the latest alerts. With continuous weather monitoring, Pakistan Weather Updates will help residents stay informed during this active monsoon spell.

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